A Speculative Analysis Of Governmental Paralysis.

The repeal and replacement of ACA (Obamacare)appears to be tied to budgetary reform insofar as money recovered therefrom may be needed to fund various measures.A five billion dollar addition ( for how long?) to cover those with pre-existing conditions for AHCA (Trumpcare)is spit in the ocean.Risk sharing is the key to health care; the creation of a high risk pool that can be opted out of by individual states or by failure of USPHS to respond to a states’ objection ensures non compliance.
Russian interference in the election pales into insignificance besides the probability of outright bribery and collusion with key figures in the Trump campaign.The key person here is Mike Flynn whose hamfisted greed had to be known of by Trump,Pence and all others who had to approve of him as National Security Chief.The fiscal cornucopia afforded by Putin and his Kleptocracy not only bailed out Trump 8 to 12 years ago but along with Wikileaks ( supplied with info by Putin’s cyber hackers) impressed Republicans and since visibly associated with Trump’s success caused a relaxation of caution and the adoption of a miracle worker adulation.
There will now be a party wide decompression effort to imply that Russian contamination adversely affected the Trump campaign !
The announcement of adulation by POTUS of ” strongmen” around the world indicates a dissatisfaction with the limitations of presidential executive power and the concept of tripartite government with equal power in each branch.There is a problem with attracting competent executives into such a mess.This executive may enjoy gridlock in the legislative branch,depending on government by executive action but if so the variegated nature of the judiciary across the nation will slow down this aggressivity considerably.
The most dangerous area is international where the strongman impulse,coupled with vast ignorance of history and little understanding of the nature of national policy with tactical military decision making handed down to a level of local command portends trouble in a number of parts of the world.
It is not an issue of POTUS’ survivability as POTUS but an issue of the once United States of America surviving this POTUS.

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35 Comments

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  15. The firing of James Comey is Strongman behavior that is Nixonian in nature and implies a greater presidential fear of revelation of Russian collusion than heretofore clear.;an independent special prosecutor is now de riguer .It comes at the same time as the revelation of special visas offered to Chinese super rich by Jared Kushner’s sister with the implication of special approval advantage by going this route.Later embarrassedly withdrawn ,it still offers insight into the nature of the Trump era..

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  18. Other possibilities:

    Math clearly tells us that risk sharing can successfully spread the cost – but at what cost? What if the risk chosen to be cost-shared is such a monster that it absorbs so many resources that other life-enhancing, life-saving needs are starved? Math is simple. It is the more complex matter of incentives that drive people. What if a law that FORCES people to share diminishes their willingness to participate in creating the volume of resources that are required to successfully address the chosen risk?

    Maybe instead of “adulation” Trump is only acknowledging the reality that many countries are led by varying degrees of dictatorship. It is through their leadership that important-to-America coalitions are created and he knows that friendly (sometimes enhanced by flattery) relations are helpful for this purpose.

    The clarity of lines that are not to be crossed carries the risk of conflict if an aggressor believes he is strong enough to win or his use of a bluff will transcend differences in physical might. Given the variety of motivations among world powers the risk of war exists with all stances (be it retreat or stand your ground). However, the risk of losing even a costly war is reduced greatly by our possessing a great military. Generally, displaying a willingness to fight reduces the probability that one will have to fight. The weakness of the last eight years has emboldened (and strengthened) the full range of aggressors. It is becoming clear that no matter our lack of interest in war, war is increasingly interested in us.

    Let’s hope that Trump can quench those who are now fired up with visions of glory – visions that require our demise.

  19. This bill has been passed in the house sans cost analysis.It may protection uncover in excess of 24 million..It is likely not to afford the savings that Republicans need for passage of their giveaway to the rich.If it gets past the senate( doubtful), there will be hell ( and the devil) to pay!!

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